I think the right link is: http://downloads.arduino.cc/tools/avrdude-6.3.0-arduino6-i686-w64-mingw32.zip
Where did you get the other URL?
I think the right link is: http://downloads.arduino.cc/tools/avrdude-6.3.0-arduino6-i686-w64-mingw32.zip
Where did you get the other URL?