Guidance on an outdoor surveillance application

I don't no if this would work for you but I used a CCD camera It has 10 IR leds so it can see at night.

This is what these things can do It will output a voltage change when you move, but it's read able you could tell what is in front of it.

It could do what you want I hooked the power to 5 volts and used ADC to read the video and you get movement readings
that change with size and heat.

And there repeatable