output impedance of led?

is there anyway to calculate this for certain light levels?

No.

do they make like 10M potentiometers?

Well 5M is the biggest I have seen:-

I have a 5x first then a 10x, I figure it'll pickup less noise but no reason really behind it,

The smaller gain might have a smaller input impedance and so pick up less noise, but it depends on the configuration.